Tuesday, April 07, 2009

On Gates' Budget Cuts

A letter from the president of the Air Force Association:

Tuesday, April 7, 2009
AFA members, Congressional staffers, civic leaders, and DOCA members, yesterday, Secretary Gates briefed the press corps on his budget proposal for 2010. [You can find his statement at: http://www.defenselink.mil/speeches/speech.aspx?speechid=1341]
In sum … for the Air Force, the following was recommended:
  • Continued production of ISR systems
  • Increased production of the F-35
  • Continue the process to select tanker replacement
  • Purchase of more SOF lift, mobility, and refueling aircraft
However, the following programs were terminated/delayed:
  • F-22 production – terminated
  • Follow-on Bomber – terminated ("until we have a better understanding of the need, requirement, and the technology")
  • C-17 production – terminated
  • Combat Search and Rescue Helicopter –X – terminated
  • Transformational Satellite (TSAT) – terminated – and instead purchase of two more AEHF satellites
  • Missile Defense – radically cut
    • No increase of ground-based interceptors
    • Airborne Laser (ABL) terminated
    • Multiple Kill Vehicle (MKV) – terminated
    • Missile Defense Agency budget reduced by $1.4B/year
One cut – which has but one line in the release – retires 250 aircraft. This means:
  • We will have a defacto Base Realignment and Closure (BRAC) – since 250 aircraft is the equivalent of 3.5 wings (and over 5 CVBGs) of fighter aircraft
  • F-15s, F-16s, and A-10s will all leave the force … with no replacements …
Let me make a few observations about this budget.
  1. This budget guarantees that the oldest Air Force in the history of our nation will get even older.
  2. B-52s (built in the 1950s) will have to be kept on duty for a minimum of another 15-20 years …
  3. At a time when the nation is spending literally trillions of dollars, we seem to not have enough money to fund an adequate defense
  4. We are using tomorrow's dollars to solve today's problems.
  5. The acquisition decisions recommended will lock in the range of national security options for decades into the future.
  6. The decisions are not just programic nuance – but will impact core Air Force functions, to include Air Force ability to deter, to conduct an air campaign, and to rescue our downed Airmen.
  7. The launch of an intercontinental missile by North Korea this weekend (and a similar launch by Iran 5 weeks ago) argues for a robust missile defense, not a reduced one – to include the ABL. The technology of ABL has the potential to revolutionize warfare in the future.
  8. It is difficult to determine the strategy which this budget supports. This is especially important since a Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR) is mandated by law … and will be conducted in the upcoming several months. It seems the budget (and hence the strategy) precedes the QDR.
  9. This budget increases risk … in my view … beyond so-called "moderate."
AFA believes there are major impacts and consequences … for the full-up joint team. These budget recommendations may cost us lives and will reduce our strategic options in a very dangerous world.
For your consideration.
Mike
Michael M. Dunn
President/CEO
Mr. Dunn is a retired USAF Lieutenant General. His bio is here.

14 comments:

  1. Yes, but (and this is ALL that matters to the current tenants) Queen Pelosi will still have her Gulfstream V.

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  2. You forget the "NIMBY" Congress. They are not going to let all those Union Jobs go away from those districts that assemble the canceled aircraft.

    Dem dudes all get "hawkish" when comes to closin' Boeing and GD.

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  3. Dave: You DO have a point!

    Darryl: This post was just a "quickie" to get the AFA's take on the situation out there. You're also right... this whole thing is FAR from over. On the one hand, Congress is part of the frickin' problem by micro-managing the procurement process and appropriating monies for things the services neither want nor need, as you've noted. OTOH, they sometimes do the right thing. I think "saving" the F-22 would be the right thing to do, in this case. Same thing for missile defense and a new strategic bomber, too... the other stuff I'd have to think a while about.

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  4. A President Freeberg would be doing all kinds of things about the DPRK; many among us would find those things disagreeable. However, the "uh, this announcement about defense budget cuts...maybe we should put that off for a couple weeks and re-think" plank...that just seems to be the essence of reason, logic and moderation.

    The guy who actually won the election, it would appear, does not agree. The missiles are flying, and out come the budget-hatchets regardless.

    Quite amazing. It seems doves are rather simplistic and extremist creatures, compared to the hawks who are compelled to everlastingly apologize for being hawkish. The disarming always proceeds, on or ahead of schedule, regardless of what's happening...and it's never quite finished. Ever.

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  5. Fred Kaplan has a piece up at Slate looking at Gates' proposed budget from a big-picture perspective.

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  6. I read the Slate piece. He points out some interesting things (such as "$200 million more for child care and spousal support—and, moreover, he put these sorts of programs in the baseline defense budget. (Before, they were part of ad hoc programs in the war-emergency supplementals and therefore without institutional protection—or, as Gates put it, they were bureaucratically "homeless"—in the political competition for scarce dollars.") But, obviously I'd like that! ;)

    Air Force has been de facto BRACed a number of times, but Navy is taking a huge hit in this budget. I'm not at all certain that we should be reducing the surface fleet with China ramping up with a carrier. Army is always a moving target -- but a share of $11B can't hurt.

    This debate may actually be not bogus, as the ones we've witnessed so far in this session have been.

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  7. I remember in school we were taught, in the event of a nuclear attack, to bend over and hide under our desks. And kiss our asses goodbye. The Dem Doveniks are still up and about I see.
    Oh, and, Buck, we ain't got Senator Pete to go to bat for AF.

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  8. I guess Gates has been drinking the "Koolaide" that all those Code Pinkers have been sucking down. This is a whopping mess from someone that was a Bush leftover.

    I keep telling myself "You need a Carter to get to Regan" but I don't know, the damage that can be done by this one term guy and all the Commies in Congress are going to do before anyone with common sense gets back in charge. It is going to be a mess.

    BT: Jimmy T sends.

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  9. Just when you thought it couldn't get any worse.
    Wonder if CFB will get on the BRAC list again? THERE'S a way to help local economy. NOT.

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  10. Morgan sez: Quite amazing. It seems doves are rather simplistic and extremist creatures, compared to the hawks who are compelled to everlastingly apologize for being hawkish. The disarming always proceeds, on or ahead of schedule, regardless of what's happening...and it's never quite finished. Ever.

    I don't disagree with Gates' budget in toto. There are a lot of things to like in there... specifically more ISR assets and increased funding/support for Special Operators. But I DO disagree with the F-22 program termination and the missile defense cuts. That is just wrong-headed.

    Barry: Kaplan would NOT be my "go-to guy" on defense matters (and neither would Slate be my go-to publication on the subject, either). Kaplan has been a persistent and vocal critic of the F-22 for years now.

    Moogie: Good points, all. I tend to focus on USAF, since the Air Force is near and dear to my black lil heart.

    Cat: Domenici was a good friend to the AF, fer sure.

    Katy/Bob: Agreed!

    Jimmy: I'm afraid "mess" doesn't begin to describe this. But then again, Carter scared the living Hell out of me... and I had to live with his decisions, seeing as how I was on active duty at the time. That wasn't fun... at ALL.

    Jenny: I'm pretty sure Cannon is safe as the "Western Home of AF Special Ops." The SpecOps guys are the current Golden Boys.

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  11. I am not really up to speed these days, but let me get this straight -- our government is on a massive spending spree filled with earmarks and pork and excess -- but they are CUTTING the defense budget?

    Now doesn't that just figure.....

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  12. Sharon: The defense budget is increasing, in the aggregate. But several major programs got the axe, and that's MY biggest issue.

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Just be polite... that's all I ask.